Week 14 Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins Betting Odds, Predictions, Props, Lines & Picks
The Chiefs (11-1 SU, 6-6 ATS) will look to maintain their perfect road record as they travel to Florida on Sunday to take on the surging Dolphins (8-4 SU, 9-3 ATS) in a cross-divisional AFC matchup. Kansas City didn’t have the hardest of schedules so far, and this could very well be their toughest challenge so far. Miami is one of the best stories in the NFL this season and remains in the playoff contention as we near the end of the regular season having won seven of their last eight games.
Week 14 Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins Betting Line Movement
The line hasn’t changed much all week and it’s -7 to -7.5 in the Chiefs’ favor dependent on where you wager on NFL online. The total opened at 49 and has slightly moved up, standing at 50.5 or 51 at most sportsbooks.
Notes On The Kansas City Chiefs
Last week in a win over Denver, Kansas City scored the fewest points this season, eventually winning the game 22-16. The final scoreline doesn’t precisely tell the story of the game, as the Chiefs mostly dominated, but were unusually indecisive in the red zone getting most of their points with five field goals. The Chiefs still boast probably the best offense in the NFL, and on Sunday we’ll witness a fascinating matchup against the Dolphins defense, ranking No2 in the league. On the other side of the ball, the KC defense will look to exploit Tagovailoa’s habit of extending plays and try to pressure him as much as possible in order to force mistakes.
Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, and Tyreek Hill all rank in the top three in the NFL for their respective positions, and there’s no doubt about their ability. The decision on whether you’ll put them in your fantasy lineups this week depends mostly on how you feel about the capability of Miami’s defense to slow them down. The running game hasn’t been on point all year, but the Dolphins are much softer against the run than against the pass and RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire could have a decent game after missing out last week.
Notes On The Miami Dolphins
For various reasons, Miami has been flip-flopping between Tua Tagovailoa and Ryan Fitzpatrick this year to surprisingly good results. Still, when healthy, Tua is the proclaimed starter and, on Sunday, he’ll have a chance to prove all his doubters wrong in probably the biggest game of his young career. He was pretty good last week against the Bengals throwing for 296 yards and a touchdown completing 26 of 39 passes. He’s yet to provide a signature explosive performance, but has been taking care of the ball well and still has no interceptions in five starts. The defense is looking at the most difficult matchup they’ve faced this year and could be without linebackers Kyle Van Noy and Elandon Roberts who’ve both missed out on practice this week due to injuries.
If they plan to get something out of this game, the Dolphins will have to find a way to involve DeVante Parker in the red zone much more. Parker has been more prolific with Fitzpatrick under the center this season, but look for Tagoavailoa to target him much more this week. With Matt Breida, Salvon Ahmed, and DeAndre Washington all out or questionable, RB Myles Gaskin will handle most of the load in the backfield and could rack up a decent number of points.
Week 14 NFL Betting Pick:Kansas City Chiefs -7
Miami’s defense has been impressive, but Patrick Mahomes is by far the most difficult QB matchup they are going to face this season, and we can trust him, Kelce, and Hill to get theirs on Sunday. On the other hand, it’s hard to see the Dolphins putting up enough points to cover the spread.
