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NFL Week 16 Prime Time Betting Picks

NFL Week 16 Prime Time Betting Picks

The NFL has wrapped four prime-time games around the Christmas Holiday in Week 16. All four have playoff implications for at least one team.

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Friday Christmas Football- Minnesota Vikings (6-8) at New Orleans Saints (10-4)

In a Christmas afternoon special, has opened the Saints as seven-point home favorites. The total for this NFC clash has been set at 52 points.

Minnesota’s run at a playoff spot came to an end with last Sunday’s loss to Chicago. The Vikings have lost three of their last five games straight-up. They have failed to cover the spread in all five of those games.
The Saints lost ground for the No. 1 seed in the NFC with last week’s loss to Kansas City. They need to win their last two games to have any shot at a first round bye. New Orleans is still 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven games. Take the Saints to cover again.

Saturday Night Football- Miami Dolphins (9-5) at Las Vegas Raiders (7-7)

Miami has been opened as a slight 2 ½-point road favorite in this AFC tilt. The betting line for the total is 47 ½ points.

The Dolphins are in excellent position for a wild card spot in the playoffs but they still need to win on Saturday to help the cause. With last Sunday’s 22-12 win against New England, they are 9-1 ATS over their last 10 games.

The Raiders are not mathematically eliminated from the postseason. But their chances are more than thin. The main concern with winning this game is just one SU victory in their last five contests. Bet on Miami to keep things rolling SU and ATS.

Sunday Night Football- Tennessee Titans (10-4) at Green Bay Packers (11-3)

The Packers are set as 3 ½-point home favorites with a 56-point total line.

This should be a highly entertaining inter-conference clash. Tennessee is tied with Indianapolis for the lead in the AFC South. With last Sunday’s 46-25 rout over Detroit, the Titans moved to 4-1 both SU and ATS in their last five games. The total has gone OVER in five of their last six outings.

Green Bay can clinch the No. 1 seed in the NFC with a win on Sunday night. The Packers have won their last four games SU. Yet, they are 2-4 ATS in their last six games. They are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against the AFC South.

This looks like a three-point game either way, so take the extra half point favoring Tennessee.

Monday Night Football- Buffalo Bills (11-3) at New England Patriots (6-8)

The Bills go on the road to a very familiar locale as seven-point favorites. The total for this AFC East showdown is 45 points.

Buffalo won the first meeting at home as part of its run to a division title. Capping the season off with a sweep would be fitting against such a bitter rival.

New England was eliminated from the playoffs in last Sunday’s loss to Miami. Even with Bill Belichick as coach, you have to question just how motivated this team will be. The best bet is Buffalo minus the seven points.

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New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins Betting Predictions, Odds, Lines & Picks

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins Betting Predictions, Odds, Lines & Picks

The Dolphins (8-5 SU, 10-3 ATS) continue to battle for the AFC playoff spot as they host the Patriots (6-7, 6-7) at the Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday in a crucial late-season online football betting game. The two teams met in Week 1 with New England taking the 21-11 win to open the season. However, a lot has changed since then and this week’s game finds teams heading in opposite directions.

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins Betting Line Movement

The opening odds favored Miami to win by -2.5. But, as the week went on and news of the injuries in the Dolphins squad started to come in, many early bettors heavily backed the rested Patriots moving the line to -1.5. The total also saw some movement, as a lot of early action supported UNDER, moving the line from an initial 43 to 41.5 at most bookies.

Notes On The New England Patriots

Before last week and an embarrassing defeat to the Rams, it looked, for a brief moment, that Bill Belichick might pull off another miracle and take his team to the online football betting playoffs. However, after a dud in Los Angeles on Thursday, the Patriots are all but eliminated from the playoff race. After the season ends, the Patriots will seriously have to consider Cam Newton’s future with the franchise as the former MVP had another below-par performance last week. Against the Rams, Newton threw for just 119 yards and an interception while being sacked four times. The Patriots are heading to Sunday’s matchup of a long week and will try to make the most extra time to rest and prepare. If they are to get anything from this game, it will likely be on the back of their defense, especially since Belichick loves playing against rookie quarterbacks.

We can hardly expect anything from Cam Newton on Sunday, and he is a hard no as far as the fantasy is concerned. The stout Miami defense will likely limit his running which his only chance to put some points on board. Newton’s poor passing form means that it’s hard to find any fantasy value among his teammates, too.

Notes On The Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins have their defense to thank for most of their good results this season, but their faith in rookie quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is starting to pay off. Tua has been pretty conservative in the first starts of his career with a limited number of thrown yards but he also has only one interception so far. He may have lost for the first time as a starter last week, but Tua also exploded in a matchup against Patrick Mahomes, throwing for 316 yards and 2 touchdowns while scoring one himself on the ground. His task on Sunday may be much harder as he’ll be working with a depleted receiving corp with DeVante Parker, Mike Gesicki, and Jakeem Grant all questionable due to injuries.

Tagovailoa is still far from being seriously considered for the daily fantasy, especially in a matchup against Belichick’s defense. With most of the leading receivers doubtful for Sunday, WR Lynn Bowden could be a sneaky good pick. Bowden made the most of the increased number of targets last week, with 7 catches for 82 yards.

Online Football Betting Pick: Under 41.5

Four of the last six games between Miami and New England ended in an UNDER, including their online football betting matchup in Week 1. As both teams are better on the defensive side of the ball, there’s no reason not to expect something similar on Sunday.

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Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts Betting Picks, Lines, Spreads, Odds, & Predictions

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts Betting Picks, Lines, Spreads, Odds, & Predictions

On Sunday, the Texans (4-9 SU, 4-9 ATS) and the Colts (9-4 SU, 8-5 ATS) will meet up for a second time in just three weeks and Indianapolis will look to sweep their divisional rivals and continue pushing for the top spot in the division. They’re currently tied with the Titans who hold a tiebreaker. Indy won six of their last eight matchups against the Texans and will look for more of the same on Sunday. The Week 13 meeting ended 26-20 in the favor of the Colts who were -3.5 favorite.

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts Betting Line Movement

At the start of the week, the Colts were favored by -6.5 with the line moving slightly to -7.5 where it stands now. The total dropped a bit since the odds were released, moving from 52.5 to 51 or 50.5 depending on the sportsbook.

Notes On The Houston Texans

The Texans were completely dismantled last week in Chicago in a game that proved that no matter how good Deshaun Watson, he alone is not enough to win. The Bears sacked Watson six times and managed to hit him hard several times more as Houston QB ended the game with only 219 passing yards breaking the three-game streak of over 300 yards through the air. The offensive line obviously isn’t doing its job, and Watson is working with a depleted receiving corp as Will Fuller, Randall Cobb, and Brandin Cooks were all out for various reasons. The Houston offense also lacks any other option as they’re the worst running team in the league with just 86.2 yards per game. The defensive metrics also put them near the bottom of the league rounding up a disappointing season for the preseason playoff hopefuls.

For weeks now, Deshaun Watson has been the only fantasy target in Houston ranks worth considering, but after a poor showing last week and a tough matchup vs Indy defense on Sunday, perhaps it’s best to stay away from him, too.

Notes On The Indianapolis Colts

The Colts have won most of their games this season thanks to fantastic defensive performances, but in the last couple of weeks, the offense started clicking, too. Last week in Las Vegas they racked up 456 yards of total offense put up 44 points on The Raiders, the highest number in the last three years under the head coach Frank Reich. The defense was also back at their best after forcing three turnovers last Sunday. This year, they’re allowing only 327.1 yards from scrimmage per game, sixth-fewest in the NFL. However, they will likely be without two key defensive players on Sunday, as both star linebacker Darius Leonard and cornerback Xavier Rhodes are questionable.

QB Phillip Rivers has shown a significant improvement as the season moved on and now has 9 touchdowns in the last 4 weeks. Going up against Texans’ defense makes him a more than a decent option for your fantasy lineups. RB Jonathan Taylor is also tearing it up in the last few weeks, with over 90 rushing yards for three straight games. Houston’s run defense is second-worst in the NFL and Taylor could easily continue his streak. Another player on fire lately is WR T.Y. Hilton who has exploded in the last three weeks after a slow start to the season.

NFL Sportsbook Betting Pick:Over 50.5

Indy’s offense finally found its groove and Deshaun Watson threw for over 300 yards in the previous matchup. Six of the last Houston’s road games have gone OVER as have the four of the last five Indy’s games.

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Week 15 Carolina Panthers vs Green Bay Packers Betting Picks, Odds, Lines, Props & Predictions

Week 15 Carolina Panthers vs Green Bay Packers Betting Picks, Odds, Lines, Props & Predictions

The Packers (10-3 SU, 8-5 ATS) will enter the Saturday night online NFL betting matchup against the Panthers (4-9 SU, 7-6 ATS) looking to solidify their No1 spot in the NFC North and put some pressure on New Orleans in the race for the best team in the conference. Green Bay holds the tiebreaker against the Saints and would enter the NFC playoffs as the first seed if the regular seasons finished today. The Panthers, on the other hand, are having a forgettable season and currently are tied with Atlanta for the worst record in the NFC South.

Week 15 Carolina Panthers vs Green Bay Packers Betting Line Movement

The Packers opened as -9.5 favorites earlier this week, but some early action backing their opponents has moved the line to -8 or -8.5 depending on which sportsbook you use for your online NFL betting. The bettors obviously feel that Green Bay will be more interested in getting the win and finishing the job than putting up a bunch of points on the Panthers. The total rose slightly over the week, moving from the opening 51 to 52.5 where it stands at the moment.

Notes On The Carolina Panthers

Carolina had a promising start to the campaign under the helm of new head coach Matt Rhule, but things quickly turned sour as they recorded seven losses in the last eight games with a win over the Lions a sole bright moment in the second half of the season. That win came in the absence of starting QB Teddy Bridgewater with P.J. walker deputizing under center. The star running back, Christian McCaffrey, who was supposed to lead the team this season, missed most of the games due to injury, disrupting the balance of the team and hurting the rushing game which was supposed to be their main strength.

RB Mike Davies did a good job carrying the load in the backfield and with McCaffrey likely out again he should be a decent pick for Saturday. Davies already put up 555 yards this season and with the Packer allowing eighth-most yards per carry in the league, he could be in for a big score.

Notes On The Green Bay Packers

Green Bay is 10-3 this season and had some solid wins but a lot of people aren’t yet convinced that they are a genuine Super Bowl contender. They have beaten only one team with a winning record this season and last month losses to the Colts and the Vikings along with earlier drubbing at the hands of the Buccaneers are a cause for concern. Still, an offense frontline by Aaron Rodgers and Devante Adams is enough to strike fear at any potential playoff opponent. They are first in the league in scoring with 31.5 ppg and second in total offensive yards with 397.6 per contest. The defense is not on an elite level but is still pretty decent, ranking 11th against the run and 12th against the pass.

Aaron Rodgers and Devante Adams continue to be among the easiest pick for daily fantasy lineups, and they could feast on the Panthers’ secondary which was crushed last Sunday against Denver. RB Aaron Jones is not as attractive pick as he was a couple of weeks ago mainly due to the increased number of carries going to Jamaal Williams lately.

Week 15 Online NFL Betting Picks: Under 52.5

The Packers’ main goal in this online NFL betting game is to win and keep everyone healthy. So, we can expect them to put their foot off the gas a little if they get off to an early lead and try to control the game with their running. This, combined with adverse weather conditions expected at Lambeau Field on Saturday, is enough for us to go UNDER.

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Week 15 Prime Time NFL Betting Picks

Week 15 Prime Time NFL Betting Picks

As the NFL regular season winds down, the action heats up with division titles and NFL betting playoff berths on the line. Week 15 prime time action stars with an AFC West matchup and closes things out on Monday in the AFC North.

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Week 15 Prime Time NFL Betting Picks Thursday Night Football

Los Angeles Chargers (4-9) at Las Vegas Raiders (7-6) has opened the Raiders as 3 ½-point home favorites for Thursday night. The total line has been set at 53 points.

The Chargers are riding out the spring in this division race. Yet, they did snap a straight-up six-game losing streak with last Sunday’s win at home against Atlanta. LA lost the first meeting against Las Vegas 31-26 on Nov. 8 as slight one-point home underdogs.

The Raiders are still in the hunt for a wild card spot in the AFC as motivation for this NFL betting game. They are 5-2 ATS in their last seven AFC contests. Lay the points and take to home team Thursday night.

Sunday Night Football- Cleveland Browns (9-4) at New York Giants (5-8)

Cleveland goes on the road as a 3 ½-point favorite in Sunday night’s inter-conference clash. The betting line for the total is 45 points.

In one of the most exciting prime time games of the season, the Browns came up just short. They lost to Baltimore 47-42 in a wild one this past Monday night. This snapped a SU four-game winning streak.

The Giants’ recent four-game SU winning streak came to an end this past Sunday. They were beaten by Arizona 26-7 as three-point home underdogs. Staying in the friendly confines of New Jersey, they are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games. Take Cleveland to rebound quickly with a win and cover.

Monday Night Football- Pittsburgh Steelers (11-2) at Cincinnati Bengals (2-10-1)

The Steelers will try and snap a SU two-game losing streak as heavy 13-point road favorites. The total line has been opened at 40 ½ points.

Pittsburgh cruised to a perfect 11-0 SU start. However, the wheels are starting to come off. Pittsburgh is coming off back-to-back losses to Washington at home and to Buffalo on the road. The offense has been held to a combined 32 points in those two games.

The Bengals are 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS in their last five games. This slide started with a 36-10 road loss to Pittsburgh on Nov. 15. Cincinnati has failed to score more than 17 points during the five-game slide. Take the UNDER as the best bet in this one.

Week 15 Prime Time NFL Betting Trends:

With 14 weeks of games in the books, road underdogs have the best winning percentage (56.3%) on the year.

Underdogs in general have covered in 55.8 percent of their games. The road team has the slight edge against the closing number with a 51.9 winning percentage. The total has stayed UNDER 51.7 percent of the time.

Last week’s games turned these trends upside down. Home favorites went 5-2 ATS. The home team covered in 58.8 percent of the NFL betting games. The total stayed UNDER in 11 of the 16 games.

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Week 14 Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns Betting Odds, Predictions, Props, Lines & Picks

Week 14 Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns Betting Odds, Predictions, Props, Lines & Picks

The crucial AFC North battle will take place in this week’s edition of Monday Night Football as Cleveland (9-3 SU, 5-7 ATS) hosts the divisional rivals, Baltimore (7-5 SU, 6-5-1 ATS). The two have already met earlier this season, in Week 1, with the Ravens dominating at home and winning 38-6. The tables have turned between then and now, as the Browns occupy the spot leading to the playoffs where many have expected to see the Ravens before the seasons started. Since that first game, Cleveland went on the 9-2 run and Baltimore lost five of their eleven games.

Week 14 Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns Betting Line Movement

Despite their higher position in the rankings, the Browns opened the week as a +1 home underdog and that line even increased in the meantime to +2.5. The total stands at 47, a slight rise from the opening 45.5.

Notes On The Baltimore Ravens

Baltimore has been working on a rather messed-up schedule as their game vs Steelers in week 12 was postponed three times due to the Covid outbreak also pushing their Cowboys game to Wednesday. As a result, the Ravens are entering this week’s matchup practically on a short week even though it’s played on Monday. The good news is that they have most of their most important players back, including Lamar Jackson, Mark Ingram, JK Dobbins, and Gus Edwards. They easily took care of Dallas on Wednesday, mostly thanks to their running game as they rushed for 294 yards in the 34-17 win. The passing still remains an issue and the Ravens now rank dead last in the NFL with only 169.3 yards through the air per contest.

Lamar Jackson had one of his signature games last week, running for 94 yards and a touchdown, although only throwing for 107 yards. In the first game against the Browns, he threw for 275 yards and if he gets close to that number again we can expect a big score fantasy score for him.

Notes On The Cleveland Browns

The Browns sit pretty in the AFC North ranking, but one of the main reasons behind a successful season is their soft schedule. Only three of their wins are against the teams currently better than 5-7. However, last week’s big win proved that the Browns can step up when needed and dominate quality opponents. They blitzed the Titans with a perfect first-half performance including 4 touchdowns in the second quarter. QB Baker Mayfield was great, throwing for 334 yards and 4 TDs and, perhaps more importantly, no interceptions for the fifth consecutive game. The Browns also thrived with the rushing game this season and now have at least 100 yards running in ten of their eleven games including four games with over 200 yards on the ground.

Baker Mayfield will face a much tougher passing defense this week compared to the last two outings and perhaps isn’t that good of a fantasy pick. As the Browns should rely on running a lot, RB Nick Chubb should be a good pick. Chubb’s been very good since returning from injury, averaging more than 116 yards in the last four games. Last week he ran 18 times for 80 yards but was rested in the fourth quarter.

Week 14 NFL Betting Pick: Cleveland Browns +2.5

Healthy and rested Cleveland should be more than a match for Baltimore who can’t count on winning unless they start showing at least a decent passing game. The Browns have significantly improved since Week 1 and will look to use the home advantage and lock up second place in the division.

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Week 14 Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills Betting Odds, Predictions, Props, Lines & Picks

Week 14 Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills Betting Odds, Predictions, Props, Lines & Picks

This week’s edition of Sunday Night Football brings us a matchup between a pair of AFC division leaders as the Steelers (11-1 SU, 8-4 ATS) travel to Buffalo to take on the Bills (9-3 SU, 7-5 ATS). Last week, Pittsburgh lost at home to Washington Football Team, ending their undefeated record this season, but are still unbeaten on the road and will look to extend that streak against Buffalo. The Bills are coming out of a neutral ground win over the 49ers and are close to securing a playoff spot.

Week 14 Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills Betting Line Movement

The Bills started the week as the +2.5 underdogs, but after some early action backing them, the line has moved to -2 or 1.5 depending on where you place your wager. The total kept steady for most of the week, only slightly rising from 47.5 to 48.

Notes On The Week 14 Pittsburgh Steelers

The Pittsburgh undefeated streak ended on Sunday as they lost to Washington, but we shouldn’t overreact and read too much into that defeat. It came after only four days of rest for the Steelers and the fatigue obviously caught up with them in the second half. What is important for Pittsburgh is that they still hold the tiebreaker over the Chiefs sweeping all their conference games so far. And that is exactly why the Bills game is so important to them. They are still 7th in the league in points per game with 27.8 ppg and the best in the league in scoring defense with only 17.6 ppg allowed, so it’s reasonable to expect them to bounce back and do good on Sunday night. However, the defense will miss some important parts on Sunday, as Bud Dupree is done for the season with a torn ACL, and the leading tackler, Vince Williams, is on the COVID-19 list.

Ben Roethlisberger had one of the worst games of the season last week but still managed to throw for an impressive 305 yards and two touchdowns. After finally getting some rest we can expect him to have a great game against the Bills’ pass defense which is not as good as advertised before the season and gave up 300 yards and 3 TDs to Nick Mullens just last week. We can also expect a decent game from RB James Conner who’s back after missing a couple of games after testing positive for Covid-19.

Notes On The Week 14 Buffalo Bills

The great season for Josh Allen continued last Monday as he toyed with the 49ers, leading his team to a 34-24 win, a first in the Monday Night Football game since 1999. The Bills now have a one-game edge over Miami in the AFC East and hold the tiebreaker, too. Allen ended the game with 375 yards on 32-from40 passing and 4 touchdowns with no interceptions. Buffalo’s passing offense is now 3rd in the league with 276.4 yards per game. On Sunday night, they will meet their match, as Pittsburgh boasts a 2nd-ranked passing defense allowing only 199.8 yards per contest. The defense which was the main reason for the Bills’ success last year is actually the worse part of the team this season, allowing 25.5 points per game.

After a flawless game last week, Josh Allen faces a much tougher matchup this time around. Still, the Steelers allowed Alex Smith to throw for almost 300 yards, and Allens should have another effective game. Stefon Diggs is also in great form, with more than 90 yards in four out of the last five games and seven or more catches in four consecutive games. He’ll square off against Joe Haden but still should be good for a decent fantasy score.

Week 14 NFL Betting Pick:Under 48

A game this important for both teams should have a playoff feel to it, and we can expect both defenses to step up. We expect a tight and nervy game, eventually ending in UNDER.

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Week 14 Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins Betting Odds, Predictions, Props, Lines & Picks

Week 14 Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills Betting Odds, Predictions, Props, Lines & Picks

The Chiefs (11-1 SU, 6-6 ATS) will look to maintain their perfect road record as they travel to Florida on Sunday to take on the surging Dolphins (8-4 SU, 9-3 ATS) in a cross-divisional AFC matchup. Kansas City didn’t have the hardest of schedules so far, and this could very well be their toughest challenge so far. Miami is one of the best stories in the NFL this season and remains in the playoff contention as we near the end of the regular season having won seven of their last eight games.

Week 14 Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins Betting Line Movement

The line hasn’t changed much all week and it’s -7 to -7.5 in the Chiefs’ favor dependent on where you wager on NFL online. The total opened at 49 and has slightly moved up, standing at 50.5 or 51 at most sportsbooks.

Notes On The Kansas City Chiefs

Last week in a win over Denver, Kansas City scored the fewest points this season, eventually winning the game 22-16. The final scoreline doesn’t precisely tell the story of the game, as the Chiefs mostly dominated, but were unusually indecisive in the red zone getting most of their points with five field goals. The Chiefs still boast probably the best offense in the NFL, and on Sunday we’ll witness a fascinating matchup against the Dolphins defense, ranking No2 in the league. On the other side of the ball, the KC defense will look to exploit Tagovailoa’s habit of extending plays and try to pressure him as much as possible in order to force mistakes.

Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, and Tyreek Hill all rank in the top three in the NFL for their respective positions, and there’s no doubt about their ability. The decision on whether you’ll put them in your fantasy lineups this week depends mostly on how you feel about the capability of Miami’s defense to slow them down. The running game hasn’t been on point all year, but the Dolphins are much softer against the run than against the pass and RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire could have a decent game after missing out last week.

Notes On The Miami Dolphins

For various reasons, Miami has been flip-flopping between Tua Tagovailoa and Ryan Fitzpatrick this year to surprisingly good results. Still, when healthy, Tua is the proclaimed starter and, on Sunday, he’ll have a chance to prove all his doubters wrong in probably the biggest game of his young career. He was pretty good last week against the Bengals throwing for 296 yards and a touchdown completing 26 of 39 passes. He’s yet to provide a signature explosive performance, but has been taking care of the ball well and still has no interceptions in five starts. The defense is looking at the most difficult matchup they’ve faced this year and could be without linebackers Kyle Van Noy and Elandon Roberts who’ve both missed out on practice this week due to injuries.

If they plan to get something out of this game, the Dolphins will have to find a way to involve DeVante Parker in the red zone much more. Parker has been more prolific with Fitzpatrick under the center this season, but look for Tagoavailoa to target him much more this week. With Matt Breida, Salvon Ahmed, and DeAndre Washington all out or questionable, RB Myles Gaskin will handle most of the load in the backfield and could rack up a decent number of points.

Week 14 NFL Betting Pick:Kansas City Chiefs -7

Miami’s defense has been impressive, but Patrick Mahomes is by far the most difficult QB matchup they are going to face this season, and we can trust him, Kelce, and Hill to get theirs on Sunday. On the other hand, it’s hard to see the Dolphins putting up enough points to cover the spread.

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Week 14 New Orleans Saints vs Philadelphia Eagles Betting Odds, Predictions, Props, Lines & Picks

Week 14 New Orleans Saints vs Philadelphia Eagles Betting Odds, Predictions, Props, Lines & Picks

The Saints (10-2 SU, 7-5 ATS) have clinched a playoff spot last week with a win over the Falcons and will try to build on their good form even further as they travel to Philadelphia to face the Eagles (3-8-1 SU, 4-8 ATS) who are quickly losing ground even in the division as poor as the NFC East. New Orleans enters this matchup on the back of the fantastic nine-game winning streak, while Philly has lost four in a row. The Saints have been one of the most profitable teams away from home lately, covering the spread in eleven of the last thirteen road games.

Week 14 New Orleans Saints vs Philadelphia EaglesBetting Line Movement

New Orleans opened as -6.5 favorites and with some early money backing them, the line has moved slightly to -7 of -7.5 depending on what NFL sportsbook you use. The total has dropped a little, moving from the initial 45 to 42.5.

Notes On The New Orleans Saints

The Saints are handling Drew Brees’ absence pretty well and are now 3-0 with Taysom Hill under center. All credit should go to Sean Payton who managed to come out with a strong game plan for his makeshift quarterback. In three weeks without Brees, New Orleans showed a more balanced offense mostly thanks to Hill’s versatility. A perfect example of this was the last week’s win in Atlanta when the Saints gained 217 yards passing and 207 on the ground. Drew Brees could come back this week, but more likely Payton won’t take the risk and Hill should get at least one more start. The groundwork for the Saints’ streak was laid on the defensive side of the ball and New Orleans is allowing the second-fewest total yards in the league and rank fifth in points per game allowed.

If Hill starts, which looks likely, he remains a solid fantasy option especially given that he’s more than capable of scoring in various ways. The player who benefited the most from having Taysom Hill at the QB position is WR Michael Thomas who now has two 100-yards games in the last three contests. Philly has already seen huge games from the opposing wider receivers in the past few weeks and Thomas might be in for a big score.

Notes On The Philadelphia Eagles

Carson Wentz was finally benched last week after a string of disastrous performances and we’ll see if the rookie Jalen Hurts has what it takes to take this Philly offense out of a rut. He came onto the field in the third quarter of the game against the Packers and did OK throwing for 109 yards for a touchdown and an interception. On Sunday he’s likely to make his first start against one of the toughest defenses in the league, but the Eagles really have nothing to lose at this point. The job won’t be made easier by the offensive line which has allowed Wentz to be sacked league-high 50 times this season. On the other side of the ball, the defense which kept Philly competitive this season, will be without Darius Slay and Jason Peters who were injured against the Packers.

The Eagles so far have been a barren land when it comes to reliable fantasy picks. Hurts is getting his first start and the fact that he can run some already makes him more valuable than Wentz. How he manages against the Saints’ defense will determine the value of some of his targets, with TE Dallas Goedert perhaps the best option as New Orleans is typically weak against tight ends this season.

Week 14 NFL Betting Pick: UNDER 42.5

The eleven of the last thirteen Philly’s home games have gone UNDER and the last five games involving New Orleans saw less than 41 points. With question marks over the Eagles’ offense, it’s more than enough for us to go UNDER.

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New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Rams Betting Predictions, Lines, Picks & Odds

New England Patriots

For this week’s edition of Thursday Night Football, the Patriots (6-6 SU, 6-6 ATS), back in the playoffs hunt, are traveling across the country to take on the Rams (8-4 SU, 7-5 ATS) in a rematch of the Super Bowl LIII. Both teams are entering the matchup in good spirits, the Patriots after the 45-0 demolition of the Chargers and the Rams coming out of a quality road win in Arizona.

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Rams Betting Line Movement

The Patriots opened as the +6 underdogs and with some early action backing them, the line dropped slightly to +5. We are obviously not used to seeing New England as the underdog by this many points in the Bill Belichick era, and when they have been valued like this, they’ve gone 10-5 against the spread, winning six times straight up. The total held steady for most of the week and currently stands at 44.5.

Notes On The New England Patriots

Not so long ago, the Patriots were seen as heading steadily towards the top of the draft and the losing season. But, Bill Belichick managed to work his magic once again and after four wins in the last five games, New England has emerged as a potential wild-card contender. The offense did a great job last week, although the special team deserves a fair share of the praise as they were responsible for 2 New England touchdowns on Sunday. Still, it’s the defense that was the key in these four wins, and in this department, the Patriots are finally starting to look like the defensive juggernaut they were last year. Bill Belichick opted to keep the team on the West Coast between the two LA games, so the short week shouldn’t be much of a problem.

Cam Newton has thrown for under 100 yards for the second straight week and his total of only 5 passing touchdowns for the whole season makes him an extremely unreliable fantasy option. He did score two rushing touchdowns against the Chargers but you can’t count on him doing it every week. This also decreases the value of his receiving corp. The rushing offense provides some options, but they’re not that great either. RB Damian Harris is leading the team in rushing yards and carries, but he has only 2 touchdowns to his name this year.

NFL Week 14 Betting Picks

Notes On The Los Angeles Rams

Following the home loss to the 49ers, the Rams managed to bounce back and come back triumphant from Arizona, beating the Cardinals 38-28. They are tied with Seattle at the top of the NFC West at the moment, and the win on Sunday will get them much closer to securing the playoff berth. QB Jared Goff was solid in Arizona, throwing for 351 yards and a touchdown. More importantly, he threw no interceptions which have been a big issue for him so far. He now has thrown for 10 picks against just 17 touchdowns. On Sunday, he faces the defense that shut down Kyler Murray and Justin Herbert and will have to improve even more for the Rams to get something out of this game. The defense remains the better part of this team and now ranks 1st against the pass and 3rd against the run.

It’s hard to trust Jared Goff against this New England defense and probably the best fantasy options in the Rams team are in the backfield. Rookie Cam Akers has firmly established himself as a top rushing option and was very active last week with 21 carries.

NFL Week 14 Betting Predictions: New England Patriots

The Patriots have worked hard to get back in the playoff contention and it’s hard to see them letting go now. The duel between two of the in-form NFL defenses will probably result in a tight game likely to be decided by a couple of points.