Baltimore Ravens Vs. New England Patriots Betting Picks, Lines, Odds,& Predictions
A week after nearly losing to the league-worst New York Jets, the New England Patriots (3-5 SU, 3-5 ATS) will host one of the league’s best teams, the Ravens (6-2 SU, 4-3-1 ATS). The Baltimore Ravens has enjoyed being on the road lately winning their last ten games away from home and losing only 2 of their last 15. Also, they are 11-2-2 against the spread over that stretch. It’s hard to see New England getting anything out of this game as their slide to the bottom of the AFC East is prevented only by the mediocrity of the aforementioned Jets.
Baltimore Ravens Vs. New England Patriots Betting Line Movement
The Ravens opened as the early -6.5 favorites with a lot of early money backing them and moving the line to -7.5 before settling at -7. The total was set at 41.5 at the start of the week, but plenty of OVER action drove it to 43.5.
Notes On The Baltimore Ravens
The Ravens had three consecutive games against some of the toughest defenses in the NFL, the Colts, Steelers, and Eagles. All three matchups were close and Baltimore managed to come out on top in two of them. Especially impressive was the Week 9 game in Indianapolis when Lamar Jackson showed that he’s slowly returning to his MVP form. Jackson had 170 yards through the air on 19/23 passing and, as usual, added a rushing touchdown and another 58 yards on the ground. If he manages to keep this up and with the defense allowing only 17.8 points per game, we can once again consider Baltimore a serious Super Bowl contender.
After battling nasty defenses for three straight weeks, going against the Patriots whose defense ranks 30th against the pass and 31st against the run Jackson might have a field day, and we can expect a monster score. The RB situation gets complicated with the possible return of Mark Ingram so it may be best to sit this week out and observe the rushing dynamic on the Baltimore team. The Ravens WR core also doesn’t bring much value as we can expect Baltimore to use ground game mostly.
Notes On The New England Patriots
New England didn’t cover the -9.5 spread against the lowly Jets last week but still managed to snap their losing streak. It feels weird watching the Patriots play meaningless games at this stage of the season, but after a promising start, they just don’t seem able to get going. It was the first game of the season where the Jets covered the spread and that tells you all you need to know about this New England team. The defense is in shambles and Cam Newton is now in the four-game stretch without a passing touchdown.
Newton did throw for 274 yards and encouraging 77% completion adding once again two rushing touchdowns to his tally. Still, he’s facing a tough Baltimore defense and you should adjust your expectations accordingly. Similar to Newton, WR Jakobi Meyers remains heavily involved but is still without a touchdown this season. He had 12 catches for 169 yards on Monday and if the elusive touchdown finally comes, he could be an interesting fantasy option this week.
Week 10 NFL Betting Pick: Betting Pick: Baltimore -7
Although they’re playing at home, this is not the New England team we are used to seeing. The Ravens will be brimming with confidence after the road win in Indianapolis and should be able to easily take care of the Patriots.