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Super Bowl Betting Odds & Picks: Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Super Bowl Betting Odds & Picks Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

After one of the weirdest NFL seasons ever, we’re finally reaching the Super Bowl betting climax. On February 7, The Chiefs (16-2 SU, 8-10 ATS) will take on the Buccaneers (14-5 SU, 11-8 ATS) in the Super Bowl LV. And, we are surely in for a treat. This game may prove to be historic for many reasons. Tampa Bay will become the first team in SB history to play the big game on the home turf. The Chiefs could become the first franchise to win back-to-back in over 15 years. Tom Brady will appear in his 10th Super Bowl and look to win his 7th ring to cement his legendary status. On the other side is Patrick Mahomes, the one player who may have a shot at matching his legacy.

Kansas City Chiefs Vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Super Bowl Betting Odds & Line Movement

The opening Super Bowl betting odds favored the Chiefs by 3.5. A bit of early action on the Bucs moved the line slightly to -3. The total was initially set at 56.5. But, it also dropped by half a point to 56. Tampa Bay and Kansas City combined for an average of 60.3 points this season.

Notes On The Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tampa’s identity at the start of the season was the one of a tough defensive team. However, they’re entering the Super Bowl as an offensive juggernaut. They scored at least 30 points in six straight games. Still, Brady’s 3 interceptions vs the Packers are a cause for concern. The Chiefs will certainly not provide that big margin for error. Also, a fair share of points in the previous two games came courtesy of defense. The defensive unit also managed to pressure Aaron Rodgers all night. They recorded 5 sacks and 8 hits. The bigger worry may be the secondary. This department features mostly young names, although they’ve improved over the season. However, in Week 12 Mahomes had a field day against them.

Tom Brady finished the regular season among the top 3 in passing yards. He was also top 5 in passes for touchdowns. If he limits turnovers, he could be in for a great game next week. Picking the right player among Brady’s receiving corp may be a bit of a crapshoot. Evans, Godwin, and Brown are all capable of having a big game. Still, Evans is probably the safest DFS pick. He’s been steadily getting the largest target share of the three. On the RB front, Leonard Fournette has taken over the primary role over banged-up Roland Jones. He’s averaging 5.7 yards per carry in the playoffs.

Notes On The Kansas City Chiefs

For Kansas City, everything revolves around Patrick Mahomes’ health. He reportedly entered the Conference Championship with an injured toe. It was supposed to limit his movement, but he still ended with 325 yards, 3 TDs, and no interceptions. With two weeks to rest and heal, we can expect him to be in full force. The main issue for the Chiefs is the state of their offensive line. Star left tackle Eric Fisher ended the season with an ACL injury on Sunday. Offensive linemen Andrew Wylie and Mike Remmers are also doubtful.

There’s no need to make a special case for Patric Mahomes, fantasy-wise. Leaving him out of the DFS lineup could come back to bite you hard. Depending on the ownership numbers, both Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill could also be excellent captain picks. RB Darrel Williams may be a perfect value pick. He outcarried Clyde Edwards-Helairealst week 13-to-6. In addition, the rookie RB is nursing an ankle injury.

Super Bowl Betting Prediction & Pick Kansas City Chiefs

It’s tough to bet against Brady in a big Super Bowl betting game, but the Chiefs are simply too good. Tampa Bay won only once against teams with winning records in the regular season. And their playoff games could have easily gone the other way. If they weren’t playing in Tampa, the spread would probably be higher. Still, the home stadium won’t be as much of an advantage as it seems. The number of fans will be limited. Also, plenty of available tickets will be handed out by the NFL.

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NFL Playoffs Betting Lines, Odds & Picks: Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs NFL Playoff Betting Picks

On Sunday, the defending champion, Kansas City (15-2 SU, 6-10-1 ATS) will host Buffalo (15-3 SU, 12-6 ATS) in the AFC Championship NFL playoff betting game. The Chiefs are trying to make the second consecutive trip to the Super Bowl. The Bills haven’t been this far in the playoffs since 1993. This will be the 50th meeting between the two, with Buffalo leading the series 26-22-1. The AFC rivals already met this season. In Week 6, KC scored a big road victory, 56-17. The main talking point before the match is the status of Patrick Mahomes. The superstar quarterback left the previous game early due to a concussion.

NFL Playoffs Betting Line Movement

The opening line favored the Chiefs by -1. This was right after the Cleveland game and Mahomes’ injury. Following some positive news from the Kansas City camp, the line moved to -3. The total moved around a lot. During the NFL playoff betting week, you could find it anywhere between 51 and 55.5. Eventually, it settled at 53.5 or 54, depending on a sportsbook.

Notes On The Buffalo Bills

Buffalo’s offense has been red-hot at the end of the season, but they’ve scored only 17 points in the divisional round. And, 7 of these came courtesy of their NFL playoff betting defense. They’ll have to do much better on Sunday. Against the Ravens, their attack was very pass-heavy. With Zack Moss out, we can expect more of the same vs the Chiefs. The good news for the Bill is the likely absence of KC’s starting corner Bashaud Breeland. This should provide more space for the lethal Allen-Diggs connection. Unlike the Ravens game, the defense will have to cope with both pass and run threats. Especially if Mahomes starts. Additionally, the Bills struggled to stop the Chiefs’ run in the previous matchup. In Week 6, they’ve allowed Clyde Edwards-Helaire to put up 161 yards.

Last week, Josh Allen failed to throw for multiple touchdowns for the first time after six games. Still, the Chiefs’ defense, although good, is not elite. We can see him bouncing back and having a good game. Despite the low scoring affair vs Baltimore, Stefon Diggs managed to get his. He had eight catches for 106 yards and a touchdown. He could easily continue his hot streak on Sunday.

Notes On The Kansas City Chiefs

Of course, everything in Kansas City revolves around Patrick Mahomes. The latest reports are encouraging. He’s still in the concussion protocol and his status is limited. However, Mahomes took part in both Wednesday’s and Thursday’s practices, taking the majority of the reps. The general feeling around the league is that he’ll start. Otherwise, the Chiefs will rely on Chad Henne. The career backup had himself a rollercoaster of a game on Sunday. He threw an interception that almost cost Kansas City a game, but eventually settled and led the team to victory. Still, with him under center, The Chiefs’ chances drop significantly. No matter who starts at QB, they will certainly be encouraged by the likely return of Clyde Edwards-Helaire and Sammy Watkins.

Given his uncertain status and price tag, Mahomes is perhaps not the best QB DFS option this week. Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce continued to dominate the targets for the Chiefs last week. We don’t see that changing and they both should be no-brainers on Sunday.

NFL Playoffs Betting Predictions and Picks: Buffalo Bills +3

Of course, this pick depends on Mahomes’s status. Still, even if he plays, we expect a tight game. The Chiefs covered only six times this season while the Bills beat the NFL playoff betting spread on 12 occasions.