Alabama Crimson Tide vs LSU Tigers Picks, Lines, Odds, Props, & Predictions
After this matchup was originally scheduled for November 4 and pushed back a few weeks, we finally get to see Alabama (8-0 SU, 6-2 ATS) take on LSU (3-4 SU, 4-3 ATS) in a revenge game following last year’s 46-41 loss. Of course, we can hardly expect anything similar to the last game between the two, as Alabama is absolutely dominating this season, while LSU is really struggling since Joe Burrow made the step to the NFL. So far, Alabama has dealt with all of their opponents with ease, not allowing anyone to get closer than 15 points. The Tigers, on the other hand, are only 3-4 this season and have been mostly alternating hot and cold performances.
Alabama Crimson Tide vs LSU Tigers Line Movement
What a difference a year makes. Last season the Tide entered the LSU matchup as the -5 home favorites and this time they are favored by more than four touchdowns on the road. The line opened at -24 but the bettors seem convinced of the huge Alabama win and plenty of action on the visitors have pushed the line to -29.5. The total is at 66.5 after being as high as 71 earlier.
Notes On Alabama Crimson Tide
Even without head coach Nick Saban who tested positive for Coronavirus, Alabama trounced Auburn last week to extend their winning streak to 8. With offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian acting as the head coach, Alabama dominated from start to finish not allowing Auburn to get even close.
The attack through the air again worked perfectly led by QB Mac Jones who already has amassed 2728 yards this season and threw for 22 touchdowns. Alabama ranks 4th in the FBS in passing offense averaging 358.1 yards per game through the air. The rushing offense is lagging behind a bit with 177.5 yards per game ranking 50th in the country. Still, RB Najee Harris is doing great and we can expect him to have a good game on Saturday, especially given how poor LSU’s defense is against the run. Harris has been fantastic all season long with 893 yards on 148 carries and 17 touchdowns and is the front-runner for the Doak Walker Award.
Notes On LSU Tigers
LSU is nowhere near the team we saw win the national title last year and have been struggling all year, especially on offense. Their attack received another blow this week as their best receiving option and the locker-room leader Terrace Marshall announced he is opting out of the season.
Last week, against Texas A&M, the Tigers couldn’t get anything going finishing with only 3 points. Head coach Ed Orgeron used both TJ Finley and Max Johnson at quarterback position citing bad weather conditions as the reason for playing Johnson. With the forecast for Saturday looking good, we can expect Finley to start. The silver lining from the last week’s game was the performance of the defense which has been decent all year long both against the pass and on the ground.
College Football Betting Pick: Under 66.5
As we said, the defense is the better part of LSU’s team and their secondary should be good enough not to make this game a target practice for Mac Jones. The LSU, however, is firing blanks all season, and we can expect that to continue on Saturday.